It's a bit hard to get a feel for what's going to happen this weekend. Unusually the wind is going to go around to the South East from the NE...usually we get SE winds after a low or front. The RASP is forecasting 4-5000ft thermals from Tauranga/Waikato down towards the central Plateau and upto 11,000ft over Mt Ruapehu. Upper SE winds will be strong-ish (at 5000ft maybe 20plus knots).
At this early stage I'm going with the NOAA squiggle line forecast (below) of blue thermals upto 6-7000ft in the late afternoon. However I don't really care cos I'm off to Wellywood for a GNZ meeting. Have fun in the sun...
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